Macro Reaction

How BNB reacts to macro news

BNB barely notices US NFP: 2.2× a normal hour, no clearer than noise.

n=10 releases since 2026 · thin trading inflates this · small sample · 2022+ only, misses earlier cycles · median move vs matched normal hours

BNB has data for 122 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest typical +1h move (median size, either direction) came after US Producer Price Index (PPI) (±0.28%, 0.8× a normal hour), the smallest after UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (±0.00%, 0.1× a normal hour).

Next release that moves BNB: FOMC rate decision,

Small sample: BNB has only traded on Bitstamp since 16 Dec 2025, so every figure here rests on a handful of releases.

Thin trading: BNB trades thinly on Bitstamp. In 38 of 122 releases (31%) its price did not change at all by +1h, so these figures understate how much BNB moves on busier exchanges.

How much bigger the BNB move is after each event than in a normal hour (median vs matched quiet hours; 1× = no different). Faded bars are not clearly above noise. Tap a bar for every release.

Every event, ranked by how much it moves BNB

Ranked by the move multiple: the median move after a release vs a matched normal hour. "Top-10%" is how often a release gives a move bigger than 90% of normal ones (10% would be no different from normal). Impact is the event's site-wide rating (see methodology). Typical move sizes by window follow (median absolute move, either direction). Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.

Event× normalTop-10%Impact+5m+1h+4h+24h% up +1hn
Bank of England rate decision small n3.6×17%Low0.00%0.21%0.22%1.05%14%7
US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) small n2.2×20%High0.00%0.22%0.76%1.55%20%10
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) small n1.9×40%High0.00%0.17%1.56%2.53%27%11
US initial jobless claims0.9×9%Low0.00%0.14%0.56%1.33%29%45
US Producer Price Index (PPI) small n0.8×36%Medium0.06%0.28%0.73%0.78%36%11
US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) small n0.8×11%Medium0.00%0.21%0.79%0.59%22%9
UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) small n0.1×0%Low0.00%0.00%0.26%1.20%10%10
US GDP (advance estimate) small n––Medium0.00%0.19%0.46%1.08%0%4
FOMC rate decision small n0.0×0%High0.08%0.08%0.22%3.30%50%6
US retail sales small n0.0×0%Low0.00%0.08%0.23%2.22%33%9

Past releases, not a forecast. Typical sizes hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.

Backtest BNB rules →BNB seasonality →

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