How Ethereum reacts to macro news
Ethereum has data for 1,303 scheduled macro releases across 10 event types. The biggest average +1h move came after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) (1.48%), the smallest after Bank of England rate decision (0.55%). Relative to a normal hour, US CPI stands out: the first hour is 2.4× a typical hour's move.
Next release that moves ETH: FOMC rate decision,
US CPI1.48%FOMC1.18%US NFP0.77%US PCE0.74%US PPI0.73%US retail sales0.69%Jobless claims0.66%US GDP0.61%UK CPI0.56%BoE rate decision0.55%
0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%
Average absolute move, +1h
Every event, ranked
Average absolute move after scheduled releases, % of releases where ETH was higher at +1h, the first-hour move vs a normal hour (crypto only), and the number of releases. Click a column to sort; click an event for every release.
| Event | +5m | +1h | +4h | +24h | % up +1h | vs normal hour | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 0.79% | 1.48% | 2.17% | 3.96% | 57% | 2.4× | 109 |
| FOMC rate decision | 0.72% | 1.18% | 1.96% | 4.13% | 60% | 2.1× | 72 |
| US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) | 0.45% | 0.77% | 1.61% | 2.52% | 52% | 1.3× | 109 |
| US PCE inflation (Personal Income and Outlays) | 0.35% | 0.74% | 1.51% | 2.83% | 40% | 1.2× | 107 |
| US Producer Price Index (PPI) | 0.36% | 0.73% | 1.51% | 3.33% | 56% | 1.2× | 109 |
| US retail sales | 0.25% | 0.69% | 1.59% | 2.79% | 55% | 1.1× | 107 |
| US initial jobless claims | 0.29% | 0.66% | 1.55% | 3.31% | 48% | 1.1× | 472 |
| US GDP (advance estimate) | 0.18% | 0.61% | 1.15% | 2.25% | 47% | 1.0× | 36 |
| UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) | 0.17% | 0.56% | 1.14% | 3.76% | 50% | 1.2× | 109 |
| Bank of England rate decision | 0.20% | 0.55% | 1.53% | 3.83% | 51% | 1.0× | 73 |
Past releases, not a forecast. Averages hide big differences between individual releases; open an event to see them all.