Bitcoin CPI Reaction: How BTC Moves After US CPI Releases
How did Bitcoin react to US CPI? Every US CPI release since 2017 with BTC and ETH moves at +1h, +4h, +1d, +7d, reversal rates and GBP/USD.
Next release: Tue 10 Nov 2026 13:30 UK · October 2026 data
Not financial advice. Historical data only. Past reactions do not predict future moves. Figures are computed automatically from public data and may contain errors. Crypto and leveraged trading carry a high risk of loss.
Releases tracked
117
2017-01-18 → 2026-10-14
BTC avg first-hour move
1.02%
2.1× a typical hour
First-hour move reversed by +4h
29%
BTC, n=117 · ETH 20%
BTC higher after 1 day
53%
median +0.13%
Summary
| Asset / horizon | Median move | % up | Avg absolute move | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) +1h | +0.08% | 55% | 1.02% | 117 |
| Bitcoin (BTC) +4h | +0.09% | 51% | 1.65% | 117 |
| Bitcoin (BTC) +1d | +0.13% | 53% | 3.08% | 117 |
| Bitcoin (BTC) +7d | +1.19% | 57% | 7.49% | 116 |
| Ethereum (ETH) +1h | +0.12% | 57% | 1.48% | 109 |
| Ethereum (ETH) +4h | +0.27% | 55% | 2.17% | 109 |
| Ethereum (ETH) +1d | +0.26% | 54% | 3.96% | 109 |
| Ethereum (ETH) +7d | +0.20% | 52% | 9.57% | 108 |
| GBP/USD next noon NY fix | +0.09% | 59% | 0.44% | 116 |
| GBP/USD +7d | +0.15% | 57% | 1.10% | 116 |
Every past release
BTC/ETH: Bitstamp BTC/USD and ETH/USD price at the exact release minute vs +1h/+4h/+1d/+7d. "Reversed?" = the +4h move has the opposite sign to the +1h move. GBP/USD: first Federal Reserve H.10 noon New York fix after the release vs the last fix before it (for 8:30am ET US releases this is the same day's noon fix). Click a date for the official release.
| Release (UK time) | BTC +1h | BTC +4h | Reversed? | BTC +1d | BTC +7d | ETH +1h | ETH +4h | GBP/USD next noon NY fix |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct 2026 13:30 | -1.46% | -2.57% | no | -3.34% | – | -1.81% | -3.34% | – |
| Fri 11 Sep 2026 13:30 | +0.55% | +0.76% | no | +0.31% | +1.14% | +1.34% | +3.95% | -0.06% |
| Wed 12 Aug 2026 13:30 | -0.72% | -1.35% | no | -1.33% | +0.13% | -0.77% | -1.45% | -0.04% |
| Tue 14 Jul 2026 13:30 | +1.58% | +2.98% | no | +2.76% | +5.61% | +4.37% | +4.13% | +0.01% |
| Wed 10 Jun 2026 13:30 | +0.63% | +1.82% | no | +2.45% | +5.76% | +0.73% | +1.44% | +0.02% |
| Tue 12 May 2026 13:30 | -0.20% | -0.66% | no | -0.58% | -4.97% | -0.31% | -1.05% | -0.90% |
| Fri 10 Apr 2026 13:30 | +0.15% | +0.83% | no | +0.97% | +4.98% | +0.15% | +1.12% | +0.13% |
| Wed 11 Mar 2026 12:30 | +1.16% | +1.51% | no | +1.48% | +4.89% | +0.99% | +1.49% | -0.45% |
| Fri 13 Feb 2026 13:30 | -0.04% | +2.43% | yes | +2.91% | -0.15% | +0.38% | +4.56% | +0.09% |
| Tue 13 Jan 2026 13:30 | +0.31% | +1.45% | no | +3.38% | -1.35% | +0.44% | +1.40% | -0.22% |
| Thu 18 Dec 2025 13:30 | +0.99% | -2.09% | yes | +0.43% | -0.19% | +2.43% | -2.37% | -0.01% |
| Fri 24 Oct 2025 13:30 | +0.22% | -0.57% | yes | +0.62% | -0.79% | +0.28% | -1.76% | -0.19% |
| Thu 11 Sep 2025 13:30 | -0.59% | -0.02% | no | +0.64% | +2.52% | -1.47% | -1.35% | +0.15% |
| Tue 12 Aug 2025 13:30 | +0.61% | +1.05% | no | +1.74% | -2.47% | +2.69% | +3.52% | +0.71% |
| Tue 15 Jul 2025 13:30 | +0.61% | -0.03% | yes | +1.75% | +2.07% | +1.62% | +2.05% | -0.31% |
| Wed 11 Jun 2025 13:30 | +0.48% | +0.33% | no | -2.11% | -4.16% | +1.45% | +3.22% | +0.36% |
| Tue 13 May 2025 13:30 | +0.24% | +0.57% | no | +0.42% | +1.24% | +1.71% | +3.46% | +0.65% |
| Thu 10 Apr 2025 13:30 | -0.46% | -3.94% | no | +0.21% | +3.42% | -1.97% | -7.94% | +1.32% |
| Wed 12 Mar 2025 12:30 | -0.06% | -1.83% | no | -0.09% | +0.37% | -0.86% | -3.03% | +0.17% |
| Wed 12 Feb 2025 13:30 | -1.88% | +1.09% | yes | -0.63% | -0.28% | -3.53% | +0.67% | +0.17% |
| Wed 15 Jan 2025 13:30 | +1.57% | +1.92% | no | +1.59% | +7.84% | +2.18% | +4.16% | +0.21% |
| Wed 11 Dec 2024 13:30 | +0.32% | +2.24% | no | +2.92% | +6.72% | +0.01% | +1.77% | +0.04% |
| Wed 13 Nov 2024 13:30 | +1.73% | +4.46% | no | +2.89% | +6.72% | +1.65% | +2.97% | -0.19% |
| Thu 10 Oct 2024 13:30 | -0.20% | -1.16% | no | +0.06% | +9.43% | -0.77% | -0.14% | -0.21% |
| Wed 11 Sep 2024 13:30 | -0.00% | +0.08% | yes | +2.25% | +5.29% | -0.05% | +0.27% | -0.29% |
| Wed 14 Aug 2024 13:30 | -1.48% | -4.36% | no | -4.91% | -3.69% | -2.01% | -4.58% | +0.16% |
| Thu 11 Jul 2024 13:30 | +0.16% | -1.80% | yes | -2.14% | +10.37% | +0.98% | -0.60% | +0.61% |
| Wed 12 Jun 2024 13:30 | +1.77% | +1.98% | no | -0.25% | -4.27% | +1.82% | +1.48% | +0.93% |
| Wed 15 May 2024 13:30 | +2.59% | +3.46% | no | +5.91% | +11.73% | +2.36% | +2.42% | +0.56% |
| Wed 10 Apr 2024 13:30 | -1.86% | -0.04% | no | +1.51% | -9.44% | -2.46% | -0.94% | -1.04% |
| Tue 12 Mar 2024 12:30 | +0.84% | -1.58% | yes | +1.92% | -11.96% | +1.04% | -1.73% | -0.16% |
| Tue 13 Feb 2024 13:30 | -1.68% | -2.37% | no | +3.84% | +5.05% | -1.72% | -2.12% | -0.20% |
| Thu 11 Jan 2024 13:30 | +1.49% | -2.97% | yes | -3.08% | -10.25% | -0.48% | -2.41% | -0.14% |
| Tue 12 Dec 2023 13:30 | -0.30% | -2.32% | no | -1.19% | +2.63% | -0.14% | -2.04% | -0.01% |
| Tue 14 Nov 2023 13:30 | +0.51% | -0.35% | yes | -0.94% | +2.07% | +0.56% | +0.19% | +1.75% |
| Thu 12 Oct 2023 13:30 | -0.18% | -0.37% | no | +0.13% | +6.06% | +0.03% | -0.70% | -0.73% |
| Wed 13 Sep 2023 13:30 | -0.35% | +0.69% | yes | +0.79% | +3.39% | -0.39% | +0.78% | +0.09% |
| Thu 10 Aug 2023 13:30 | +0.08% | -0.45% | yes | -0.40% | -3.54% | +0.12% | -0.15% | +0.09% |
| Wed 12 Jul 2023 13:30 | -0.48% | -1.14% | no | -0.94% | -2.89% | -0.21% | -0.47% | +0.71% |
| Tue 13 Jun 2023 13:30 | -0.42% | -1.67% | no | -0.91% | +2.31% | -0.67% | -1.25% | +0.98% |
| Wed 10 May 2023 13:30 | +1.45% | +2.11% | no | -0.57% | -3.76% | +1.25% | +1.57% | -0.03% |
| Wed 12 Apr 2023 13:30 | +0.57% | +0.00% | yes | +0.62% | -2.59% | +0.98% | +2.25% | +0.50% |
| Tue 14 Mar 2023 12:30 | +5.03% | +4.54% | no | +0.12% | +13.27% | +3.54% | +4.42% | -0.12% |
| Tue 14 Feb 2023 13:30 | -1.04% | +0.96% | yes | +4.26% | +12.83% | -1.02% | +1.86% | +0.17% |
| Thu 12 Jan 2023 13:30 | -0.12% | +0.44% | yes | +3.85% | +14.29% | +1.56% | +2.21% | +0.47% |
| Tue 13 Dec 2022 13:30 | +1.65% | +0.62% | no | +1.67% | -4.56% | +2.77% | +1.19% | +0.73% |
| Thu 10 Nov 2022 13:30 | +6.67% | +7.57% | no | +5.84% | +0.17% | +8.82% | +9.94% | +2.47% |
| Thu 13 Oct 2022 13:30 | -2.72% | +0.78% | yes | +4.44% | +2.30% | -3.54% | +0.14% | +2.24% |
| Tue 13 Sep 2022 13:30 | -5.96% | -8.77% | no | -11.04% | -16.11% | -8.12% | -9.23% | -1.50% |
| Wed 10 Aug 2022 13:30 | +4.56% | +4.10% | no | +6.70% | +2.25% | +7.75% | +7.52% | +1.29% |
| Wed 13 Jul 2022 13:30 | -5.17% | -3.40% | no | -1.62% | +18.42% | -7.08% | -3.40% | +0.12% |
| Fri 10 Jun 2022 13:30 | -2.23% | -3.77% | no | -4.40% | -30.51% | -3.12% | -6.12% | -1.45% |
| Wed 11 May 2022 13:30 | -5.39% | -3.07% | no | -11.81% | -5.34% | -6.82% | -7.15% | +0.03% |
| Tue 12 Apr 2022 13:30 | +0.59% | -0.67% | yes | -1.53% | +1.47% | +1.23% | -0.19% | -0.02% |
| Thu 10 Mar 2022 13:30 | -0.56% | -0.25% | no | +0.82% | +4.13% | -0.65% | -0.18% | -0.40% |
| Thu 10 Feb 2022 13:30 | -3.06% | +1.77% | yes | -2.65% | -5.25% | -4.19% | -0.53% | +0.71% |
| Wed 12 Jan 2022 13:30 | +1.01% | +0.70% | no | +0.71% | -2.65% | +1.54% | +1.77% | +0.56% |
| Fri 10 Dec 2021 13:30 | +1.21% | -3.12% | yes | -0.85% | -3.53% | +0.74% | -5.02% | +0.56% |
| Wed 10 Nov 2021 13:30 | +2.97% | +3.30% | no | -2.10% | -9.12% | +2.49% | +2.87% | -0.60% |
| Wed 13 Oct 2021 13:30 | +0.05% | +2.22% | no | +4.82% | +16.51% | +0.04% | +0.71% | +0.29% |
| Tue 14 Sep 2021 13:30 | +1.80% | +2.00% | no | +3.99% | -5.45% | +1.66% | +2.57% | +0.03% |
| Wed 11 Aug 2021 13:30 | +0.98% | +1.05% | no | -3.25% | -2.13% | +0.87% | +1.00% | +0.19% |
| Tue 13 Jul 2021 13:30 | -0.95% | -0.29% | no | -1.56% | -9.90% | -0.63% | +0.28% | -0.28% |
| Thu 10 Jun 2021 13:30 | +0.38% | -1.88% | yes | -0.55% | +3.47% | -0.10% | -2.22% | +0.29% |
| Wed 12 May 2021 13:30 | -1.30% | -2.76% | no | -11.31% | -32.54% | -1.19% | -3.86% | -0.48% |
| Tue 13 Apr 2021 13:30 | -0.63% | +0.40% | yes | +1.84% | -11.38% | +0.10% | +2.80% | +0.01% |
| Wed 10 Mar 2021 13:30 | +0.68% | +2.47% | no | +1.82% | -0.62% | +0.15% | +1.88% | +0.11% |
| Wed 10 Feb 2021 13:30 | -0.40% | -1.68% | no | +5.48% | +11.26% | -0.18% | -0.04% | +0.39% |
| Wed 13 Jan 2021 13:30 | +1.06% | +0.99% | no | +11.89% | -0.03% | +1.47% | +1.15% | -0.04% |
| Thu 10 Dec 2020 13:30 | -0.32% | -0.17% | no | -1.41% | +27.99% | +0.19% | +0.71% | -0.74% |
| Thu 12 Nov 2020 13:30 | +0.25% | +1.19% | no | +1.98% | +12.61% | -0.10% | -0.49% | -0.70% |
| Tue 13 Oct 2020 13:30 | -0.48% | -0.81% | no | -0.75% | +3.38% | -0.76% | -1.25% | -0.27% |
| Fri 11 Sep 2020 13:30 | +0.36% | +0.70% | no | +0.59% | +6.85% | +0.80% | +2.14% | -0.45% |
| Wed 12 Aug 2020 13:30 | +0.04% | +0.77% | no | +0.09% | +3.14% | +0.30% | +0.48% | -0.23% |
| Tue 14 Jul 2020 13:30 | -0.18% | -0.03% | no | +0.13% | +1.88% | -0.29% | -0.20% | -0.54% |
| Wed 10 Jun 2020 13:30 | +0.18% | +0.21% | no | +0.28% | -2.66% | +0.15% | +0.09% | +0.17% |
| Tue 12 May 2020 13:30 | -0.07% | +2.09% | yes | +3.06% | +10.46% | +0.14% | +0.82% | -0.25% |
| Fri 10 Apr 2020 13:30 | -0.29% | -1.07% | no | -0.57% | +2.50% | -0.48% | -1.95% | +0.22% |
| Wed 11 Mar 2020 12:30 | +0.44% | -1.11% | yes | -22.66% | -34.83% | +0.68% | -2.57% | -0.36% |
| Thu 13 Feb 2020 13:30 | -0.04% | -1.19% | no | -0.38% | -7.11% | -0.06% | -2.17% | +0.56% |
| Tue 14 Jan 2020 13:30 | +1.74% | +2.18% | no | +2.84% | +1.15% | +2.20% | +5.56% | +0.27% |
| Wed 11 Dec 2019 13:30 | +0.16% | -0.50% | yes | -0.35% | -9.75% | -0.13% | -1.75% | -0.02% |
| Wed 13 Nov 2019 13:30 | +0.39% | +0.57% | no | -1.20% | -7.48% | +0.47% | +1.55% | -0.12% |
| Thu 10 Oct 2019 13:30 | -0.58% | +0.44% | yes | -2.15% | -5.79% | +0.12% | +1.86% | +1.37% |
| Thu 12 Sep 2019 13:30 | +0.46% | +0.66% | no | +1.16% | -3.22% | +0.49% | +0.41% | +0.23% |
| Tue 13 Aug 2019 13:30 | -0.88% | -2.97% | no | -5.67% | -5.17% | -0.88% | -2.34% | -0.02% |
| Thu 11 Jul 2019 13:30 | -0.37% | -0.24% | no | -0.42% | -18.91% | -0.58% | +0.13% | +0.34% |
| Wed 12 Jun 2019 13:30 | -0.18% | +2.38% | yes | +1.42% | +13.61% | -0.45% | +3.57% | -0.24% |
| Fri 10 May 2019 13:30 | +0.42% | +1.40% | no | +8.24% | +11.39% | +0.10% | +0.30% | +0.18% |
| Wed 10 Apr 2019 13:30 | +0.32% | +0.33% | no | -4.22% | -0.92% | +0.45% | -0.34% | +0.40% |
| Tue 12 Mar 2019 12:30 | +0.01% | -0.34% | yes | -0.67% | +2.63% | -0.14% | -0.78% | +0.05% |
| Wed 13 Feb 2019 13:30 | -0.26% | -0.20% | no | -0.57% | +9.69% | -0.97% | -1.16% | -0.17% |
| Fri 11 Jan 2019 13:30 | +0.36% | +0.48% | no | -0.36% | -0.70% | +2.40% | +3.14% | +0.53% |
| Wed 12 Dec 2018 13:30 | +0.30% | +0.91% | no | -0.11% | +14.06% | +0.61% | +1.28% | +1.07% |
| Wed 14 Nov 2018 13:30 | -0.20% | -9.45% | no | -12.66% | -26.92% | -0.24% | -8.77% | -0.15% |
| Thu 11 Oct 2018 13:30 | +0.17% | +0.15% | no | +0.32% | +3.98% | +0.03% | +0.95% | -0.10% |
| Thu 13 Sep 2018 13:30 | -0.01% | +0.67% | yes | -0.03% | -0.65% | +2.67% | +4.49% | +0.58% |
| Fri 10 Aug 2018 13:30 | +0.13% | -0.67% | yes | -6.04% | +0.16% | -0.47% | -0.96% | -0.78% |
| Thu 12 Jul 2018 13:30 | -0.13% | -0.12% | no | +1.02% | +19.94% | -0.51% | +0.10% | -0.02% |
| Tue 12 Jun 2018 13:30 | -1.32% | -1.04% | no | -5.35% | -1.41% | -1.45% | -1.46% | +0.22% |
| Thu 10 May 2018 13:30 | +0.47% | +0.20% | no | -8.46% | -10.94% | +0.99% | +0.49% | -0.59% |
| Wed 11 Apr 2018 13:30 | +1.11% | +1.12% | no | +12.66% | +18.12% | +1.60% | +1.67% | +0.23% |
| Tue 13 Mar 2018 12:30 | +1.99% | +0.19% | no | -3.63% | -5.68% | +0.80% | -0.80% | +0.64% |
| Wed 14 Feb 2018 13:30 | -0.63% | +0.30% | yes | +4.72% | +17.93% | -1.11% | +1.67% | +0.45% |
| Fri 12 Jan 2018 13:30 | -1.13% | -2.60% | no | +3.00% | -15.05% | -1.22% | -2.85% | +1.08% |
| Wed 13 Dec 2017 13:30 | +0.02% | -3.85% | yes | -2.47% | +3.08% | +4.53% | +0.30% | +0.32% |
| Wed 15 Nov 2017 13:30 | +1.41% | +0.52% | no | +4.19% | +15.40% | +0.28% | -1.42% | +0.28% |
| Fri 13 Oct 2017 13:30 | +0.68% | +1.54% | no | +1.83% | +1.01% | +4.03% | +1.01% | +0.99% |
| Thu 14 Sep 2017 13:30 | -4.11% | -3.73% | no | -11.58% | +5.52% | -4.37% | -4.00% | +1.36% |
| Fri 11 Aug 2017 13:30 | +0.09% | +0.09% | no | +6.27% | +22.82% | – | – | +0.08% |
| Fri 14 Jul 2017 13:30 | -0.96% | -3.97% | no | -12.00% | +19.22% | – | – | +1.22% |
| Wed 14 Jun 2017 13:30 | -1.11% | -6.20% | no | -13.94% | +0.06% | – | – | +0.54% |
| Fri 12 May 2017 13:30 | +0.08% | -2.27% | yes | -2.61% | +8.18% | – | – | -0.04% |
| Fri 14 Apr 2017 13:30 | +0.80% | +1.49% | no | +1.99% | +7.89% | – | – | +0.07% |
| Wed 15 Mar 2017 12:30 | +0.05% | -0.34% | yes | -2.26% | -15.60% | – | – | +0.44% |
| Wed 15 Feb 2017 13:30 | -0.02% | -0.39% | no | +1.15% | +11.04% | – | – | +0.00% |
| Wed 18 Jan 2017 13:30 | -1.96% | +0.42% | yes | +2.45% | +2.13% | – | – | -0.64% |
FAQ
How does Bitcoin react to US CPI?
Across 117 scheduled US CPI releases since 2017 with Bitstamp data, BTC's median move in the first hour was +0.08% and the average absolute first-hour move was 1.02%, about 2.1× a typical hour at the same time of day. The first-hour direction had reversed by +4 hours in 29% of cases. BTC was higher one day later 53% of the time. Historical data only, not a forecast.
What time is it released in the UK?
BLS standard release time 08:30 ET (BLS release schedule). The most recent release was at Wed 14 Oct 2026 13:30 UK time.
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