Macro Reaction

Seasonality Explorer

Which months, weekdays and hours move BTC, ETH, eleven more coins and GBP/USD the most, and which held up year after year.

The interactive explorer needs JavaScript. The week-by-year table is below.

What stands out

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Past behaviour, not a forecast. Patterns that held in the past can stop working.

This week: Mon 19 Oct – Sun 25 Oct

Scheduled macro events

All coins: ISO week 43 historically

ISO week 43 (Mon 19 Oct – Sun 25 Oct), Monday open to Sunday close in UTC, Bitstamp spot daily data (USD pairs), every past year available; coins with under 3 years of Bitstamp history are not shown.

Year by year

CoinMedian% up202520242023202220212020201920182017
ADA+7.4%75%+4.3%-7.0%+11.6%+10.6%–––––
AVAX+5.6%75%+1.2%-11.2%+12.3%+10.0%–––––
BTC+5.4%78%+5.4%-1.6%+15.1%+5.4%+0.8%+13.2%+16.0%-0.1%+2.8%
DOGE+5.3%100%+5.3%+1.6%+12.6%––––––
DOT+8.1%75%+7.1%-10.1%+9.1%+11.0%–––––
ETH+4.9%89%+4.4%-8.8%+7.9%+16.5%+4.9%+7.3%+5.0%+0.1%+3.4%
LINK+8.6%83%+7.3%-8.4%+9.8%+10.0%+1.1%+12.1%–––
LTC+2.4%78%+7.2%-4.4%+5.4%+2.4%+0.8%+23.7%+9.1%-1.2%+0.7%
SOL+9.1%100%+6.5%+5.4%+12.9%+11.8%–––––
XRP+1.7%78%+10.7%-5.8%+6.4%-2.3%+2.9%+4.5%+1.7%+1.5%+0.3%

Small samples (often under 10 years) mean these figures are noisy. Seasonality is a base rate, not a signal.

Sources: Bitstamp spot BTC/USD and ETH/USD (daily candles are UTC days, open to close; hourly candles converted to UK time including summer time). GBP/USD: Federal Reserve H.10 noon New York fix (DEXUSUK) via FRED, fix to fix. Weeks are ISO weeks (Monday to Sunday; week 53, which only some years have, is shown once it has 3 or more years); the current, unfinished week, month and day are excluded.