Seasonality Explorer
How BTC, ETH and GBP/USD have behaved by day of week, hour of day (UK time), week and month of the year, and around the turn of the month, plus what history says about this week.
This week: Mon 19 Oct – Sun 25 Oct
Scheduled macro events
- Wed 21 Oct, 07:00 UK UK CPI · September 2026 data Low impact
What history says (selected asset below)
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Seasonality explorer
The interactive explorer needs JavaScript. The week-by-year table is below.
GBP/USD uses the Federal Reserve's daily noon New York fix (weekdays only, from 1971), so there is no hour-of-day view.
Seasonality
Year by year
Every bucket
Volatility = standard deviation of returnsSeasonality is noisy. Most buckets rest on a handful of years, one big move can swing an average, and patterns that held in the past often stop working. Treat this as background, not a signal, and not advice.
All coins: ISO week 43 historically
ISO week 43 (Mon 19 Oct – Sun 25 Oct), Monday open to Sunday close in UTC, Bitstamp spot daily data (USD pairs), every past year available; coins with under 3 years of Bitstamp history are not shown.
Year by year
| Coin | Median | % up | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | +7.4% | 75% | – | – | – | – | – | +10.6% | +11.6% | -7.0% | +4.3% |
| AVAX | +5.6% | 75% | – | – | – | – | – | +10.0% | +12.3% | -11.2% | +1.2% |
| BTC | +5.4% | 78% | +2.8% | -0.1% | +16.0% | +13.2% | +0.8% | +5.4% | +15.1% | -1.6% | +5.4% |
| DOGE | +5.3% | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – | +12.6% | +1.6% | +5.3% |
| DOT | +8.1% | 75% | – | – | – | – | – | +11.0% | +9.1% | -10.1% | +7.1% |
| ETH | +4.9% | 89% | +3.4% | +0.1% | +5.0% | +7.3% | +4.9% | +16.5% | +7.9% | -8.8% | +4.4% |
| LINK | +8.6% | 83% | – | – | – | +12.1% | +1.1% | +10.0% | +9.8% | -8.4% | +7.3% |
| LTC | +2.4% | 78% | +0.7% | -1.2% | +9.1% | +23.7% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +5.4% | -4.4% | +7.2% |
| SOL | +9.1% | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | +11.8% | +12.9% | +5.4% | +6.5% |
| XRP | +1.7% | 78% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +2.9% | -2.3% | +6.4% | -5.8% | +10.7% |
Small samples (often under 10 years) mean these figures are noisy. Seasonality is a base rate, not a signal.
Sources: Bitstamp spot BTC/USD and ETH/USD (daily candles are UTC days, open to close; hourly candles converted to UK time including summer time). GBP/USD: Federal Reserve H.10 noon New York fix (DEXUSUK) via FRED, fix to fix. Weeks are ISO weeks (Monday to Sunday; week 53, which only some years have, is shown once it has 3 or more years); the current, unfinished week, month and day are excluded.